S&P/ASX 2008,741.2-0.89%All Ordinaries8,920.2-0.98%S&P 5007,656.98+0.86%Nasdaq26,333.04+0.96%AUD/USD0.7173+0.17%RBA cash rate4.350.00%Gold4,408.90+0.04%Brent crude104.61-2.81%

Macro

Big Four Banks Now Predict RBA Rate Hikes

All four major banks now project the Reserve Bank of Australia will raise the cash rate before year-end, meaning borrowers face higher debt servicing costs and valuations across growth assets could face further pressure.

What happened

Westpac revised its interest rate forecast, making all four major Australian banks aligned in predicting an RBA cash rate increase before the end of the year. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser signalled a rate hike was likely, citing persistent inflation as the primary economic challenge despite broader economic strength.

Why it matters here

For Australian investors, higher interest rates increase mortgage repayments and lift the discount rate applied to corporate earnings. A cash rate rise to 15-year highs directly pressures household disposable income and raises borrowing costs for businesses, dampening equity valuations while boosting yield expectations across fixed income instruments.

What to watch

The RBA board's upcoming monetary policy decision on 29 September 2026, alongside fresh monthly August inflation data scheduled for release by the ABS on 30 September.

Source

au.finance.yahoo.com

Also in this edition

S&P/ASX 200

8,741.2

▼ 0.89% · -78.2

All Ordinaries

8,920.2

▼ 0.98% · -88.1

S&P 500

7,656.98

▲ 0.86% · +65.28

Nasdaq

26,333.04

▲ 0.96% · +251.34

AUD/USD

0.7173

▲ 0.17% · +0.0012

RBA cash rate

4.35

— 0.00% · 0.00