S&P/ASX 2008,660.9-0.76%All Ordinaries8,823.2-0.80%S&P 5007,765.36-0.47%Nasdaq27,193.34-1.25%AUD/USD0.6962+0.01%RBA cash rate4.600.00%Gold4,160.60+0.48%Brent crude103.42+3.21%

Macro

Deloitte Forecasts November RBA Interest Rate Hike

Persistent headline and underlying inflation have pushed official interest rates to a 15-year high of 4.6 per cent, with economists warning another rate hike remains likely before year-end.

What happened

The Reserve Bank of Australia increased the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.6 per cent as persistent price pressures elevated headline inflation to 4.0 per cent in August. Deloitte Access Economics noted that escalating Middle East conflict energy costs and capacity pressures have increased inflation risks, pointing toward a follow-up rate increase.

Why it matters here

Higher official interest rates directly increase borrowing costs for Australian mortgage holders while cooling consumer demand across the economy. Weak labor productivity means modest demand still generates price pressures, requiring local investors to review debt levels, defensive yield holdings, and potential head-winds for domestic discretionary retail equities.

What to watch

The Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board's decision at its upcoming November meeting, where Deloitte Access Economics expects a potential 25 basis point cash rate increase.

Source

deloitte.com

Also in this edition

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AUD/USD

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RBA cash rate

4.60

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