S&P/ASX 2000.000.00%All Ordinaries0.000.00%S&P 5007,811.54+0.59%Nasdaq27,366.17+0.64%AUD/USD0.6988+0.37%RBA cash rate4.600.00%Gold4,216.30+1.43%Brent crude104.72+0.42%

Macro

Former RBA board member labels November rate hike plausible

Investors and mortgage holders should not assume the Reserve Bank's rate-hiking cycle is finished, as persistent inflation keeps further monetary tightening firmly on the table for late 2026.

What happened

Former Reserve Bank of Australia board member Ian Harper stated that another interest rate increase before the end of the year is plausible. His comments follow the central bank's September decision to raise the cash rate to a 15-year high of 4.60%. Financial markets are currently pricing in a one-in-three chance of a rate hike at the November meeting.

Why it matters here

Another rate hike would further squeeze household cash flows, lower borrowing capacity, and increase debt servicing costs for Australian businesses. For investors, sustained high interest rates maintain pressure on growth equities and property valuations while keeping cash yields and short-term fixed income attractive.

What to watch

The ABS September quarter Consumer Price Index data released on 28 October, which remains the decisive input before the Reserve Bank's next monetary policy meeting on 3 November.

Source

abc.net.au

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AUD/USD

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RBA cash rate

4.60

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