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Super

Private Credit Stress Highlights Real Estate Risk

Australian investors should scrutinize yield sources in unlisted credit funds, ensuring underlying real estate exposures are adequately cushioned against high borrowing costs and property price declines.

What happened

Administrators met with creditors of Bathla Group over approximately $3.4 billion of debt, highlighting concentration risks in Australia's $200 billion private credit sector. One local property credit fund held 24 per cent of its assets with the group, breaching its 20 per cent limit, leading to research downgrades and suspended redemptions amid tightening property market conditions.

Why it matters here

Private credit expanded rapidly as post-GFC regulations restricted traditional bank lending to speculative real estate developers. However, elevated interest rates and federal budget changes to negative gearing have weakened property investor demand, increasing default risks for high-yielding unlisted credit funds that lack the liquidity and transparency of public bond markets.

What to watch

Watch for further regulatory updates from ASIC on private credit fund liquidity rules alongside quarterly redemption reports from unlisted property debt managers.

Source

betashares.com.au

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