S&P/ASX 2009,058.9-0.27%All Ordinaries9,269.7-0.31%S&P 5007,674.37+0.43%Nasdaq26,180.46+0.43%AUD/USD0.7167+0.77%RBA cash rate4.350.00%Gold4,680.60+2.39%Brent crude94.39+0.65%

Macro

RBA Warns Interest Rate Hikes Remain Possible

Australian portfolios should remain positioned for high cash rates into late 2026, as central bank officials signal willingness to tighten further if supply shocks or low productivity persist.

What happened

Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser warned that policymakers will raise interest rates again if inflation risks crystallise. Speaking after the RBA held the cash rate steady at 4.35%, Hauser identified Middle East supply disruptions, the global artificial intelligence boom, and poor productivity as key upside risks to domestic inflation forecasts.

Why it matters here

While equity markets anticipate a rate pause, central bank officials remain vigilant against lingering inflationary pressures. An additional rate hike to 4.60% would further increase mortgage stress and compress valuation multiples for growth-oriented domestic stocks. Investors must factor extended tight monetary policy into income and fixed-income portfolio allocations.

What to watch

Upcoming Australian quarterly inflation readings and Reserve Bank of Australia Board policy meetings leading into December.

Source

reuters.com

Also in this edition

S&P/ASX 200

9,058.9

▼ 0.27% · -24.9

All Ordinaries

9,269.7

▼ 0.31% · -28.8

S&P 500

7,674.37

▲ 0.43% · +33.21

Nasdaq

26,180.46

▲ 0.43% · +113.29

AUD/USD

0.7167

▲ 0.77% · +0.0055

RBA cash rate

4.35

— 0.00% · 0.00