S&P/ASX 2008,978.4-0.97%All Ordinaries9,160.3-1.09%S&P 5007,686.14-0.33%Nasdaq26,370.89-0.12%AUD/USD0.7167+0.04%RBA cash rate4.35%0.00%Gold4,374.90-2.38%Brent crude95.25+5.26%

Macro

Stronger GDP data sharpens RBA rate hike expectations

Solid June quarter economic growth and elevated spending have pushed rate hike expectations higher. Investors should prepare for potential monetary tightening before year-end, which may pressure equities and lift bond yields.

What happened

Australia's GDP grew by 0.4 per cent in the June quarter, exceeding market expectations of 0.3 per cent, while annual growth reached 2.1 per cent against forecasts of 1.8 per cent. Following the hotter-than-expected data alongside strong spending and inflation figures, money market pricing for a Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate hike at the late September meeting jumped from 53 per cent to 73 per cent.

Why it matters here

Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for businesses and households while driving up Australian government bond yields. For equity investors, the prospect of further monetary tightening tends to compress valuation multiples, particularly for growth and technology stocks, while supporting the Australian dollar and bank interest margins.

What to watch

The Reserve Bank of Australia's next monetary policy board decision and statement on September 29, alongside upcoming employment data and monthly inflation indicators.

Source

youtube.com

Also in this edition

S&P/ASX 200

8,978.4

▼ 0.97% · -88.3

All Ordinaries

9,160.3

▼ 1.09% · -100.6

S&P 500

7,686.14

▼ 0.33% · -25.62

Nasdaq

26,370.89

▼ 0.12% · -31.54

AUD/USD

0.7167

▲ 0.04% · +0.0003

RBA cash rate

4.35%

— 0.00% · 0.00